Alcohol poisonings and fatal accidents in Belarus.

BACKGROUND High accidental deaths rate in the former Soviet republics (FSR) and its profound fluctuation over the past decades have attracted considerable interest. The mounting body of evidence point to binge drinking pattern as a potentially important contributor to accident mortality crisis in FSR. AIM The aim of this study was to estimate the aggregate-level effect of binge drinking on the accident mortality rate in the former Soviet Slavic republic Belarus. METHOD Trends in fatal alcohol poisoning (as a proxy for binge drinking) and accidental deaths rates from 1979 to 2007 were analyzed employing a distributed lag analysis in order to asses bivariate relationship between the two time series. RESULTS According to Bureau of Forensic Medicine autopsy reports the number of deaths due to accidents and injuries increased by 94.5% (from 38.7 to 75.6 per 100.000 of residents), and fatal alcohol poisoning rate increased by 108.6% (from 12.8 to 26.7 per 100.000 of residents) in Belarus between 1979 and 2007. Alcohol in blood was found in 51.4% victims of deaths from accidents and injuries for the whole period, with the minimum figure 43.1% in 1986 and maximum 59.1% in 2005. The outcome of distributed lags analysis indicated statistically significant association between the number of alcohol poisoning deaths and the number BAC (blood alcohol concentration)- positive deaths from accidents and injuries at zero lag. CONCLUSION The outcome of this study supports the hypothesis that alcohol and deaths from accidents and injuries are closely connected in culture with prevailing intoxication-oriented drinking pattern. This research evidence points to binge drinking pattern as a potentially important contributor to accident mortality crisis in Belarus.